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NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket: Computer simulation releases surprising March Madness upsets

Fans everywhere should know there’s no such thing as a lock when it comes to March Madness. That was evident when 16-seed UMBC dominated No. 1 seed Virginia in 2018, beating the Cavaliers by 20 points in the first round. While a 16-seed may not knock off a No. 1 seed in the 2021 NCAA Tournament, plenty of upsets will shake up the March Madness bracket. One of the most common upsets we could see is a No. 12 seed prevailing over a No. 5 in the first round of the 2021 NCAA bracket.

In fact, since the NCAA Tournament field expanded in 1985, all four No. 5 seeds have prevailed just five times (1988, 2000, 2007, 2015, 2018). So which No. 12 seed has the best chance to pull off a major upset in March Madness 2021, and which underdogs will make a deep run in the 2021 NCAA bracket? Before making any 2021 March Madness predictions, be sure to check out the 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

Last tournament, SportsLine’s computer simulation nailed massive upsets, including huge wins by No. 13 seed UC-Irvine over No. 4 seed Kansas State, No. 10 seed Florida over No. 7 seed Nevada, and No. 12 seed Oregon over No. 5 seed Wisconsin.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has nailed 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds the past four tournaments and nailed 14 teams in the Sweet 16 last time.

There’s simply no reason to rely on luck when there’s proven technology to help you dominate your 2021 March Madness pools. Now, the model has simulated every possible matchup in the 2021 NCAA Tournament and revealed its bracket. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Top 2021 March Madness bracket upset picks

One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2021 March Madness brackets: The No. 6 seed BYU Cougars knock off the No. 3 seed Texas Longhorns to advance to the Sweet 16.

BYU features one of the nation’s most efficient offenses. In fact, the Cougars enter the NCAA Tournament 2021 knocking down 48.23 percent of their field goals, which ranks 23rd in the nation. BYU is led offensively by guard Alex Barcello, who’s averaging 15.9 points, 4.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists. The senior is knocking down 52.2 percent of his field goals this season and has also been lethal from behind the arc, connecting on 48.6 percent of his three-point attempts.

BYU is also one of the best teams in securing defensive rebounds, averaging 29.9 per game, which ranks fifth in the country. SportsLine’s model shows BYU advancing to the Sweet 16 in half of its 2021 March Madness simulations.

Another huge curveball in the East Region: No. 12 seed Georgetown pulls off the upset against No. 5 seed Colorado. The Buffaloes are led by McKinley Wright IV, who leads Colorado in a number of categories, including points (15.5), assists (5.6) and steals (1.1). The senior guard has scored at least 18 points in four of his last five games.

However, Colorado faces a Georgetown team that will enter this matchup full of confidence. The Hoyas lost eight of their first 11 games this season, but Patrick Ewing’s squad has found its form in recent weeks. The Hoyas took down the Big East Tournament after winning four straight games as underdogs, which included a dominant 73-48 victory over Creighton in the title game. Georgetown was able to secure those positive results thanks to its suffocating defense, which has held its opponents to 58 points or fewer in three of its last four games.

How to make 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine’s model also has one region where you need to pick the No. 2 seed, while the Nos. 10, 11 and 13 seeds all deliver huge first-round upsets. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket.

So what’s the optimal NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket? And which underdogs shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which No. 2 seed you need to target, and see which region you need to pick the 10, 11, and 13 seeds, all from the model that’s called 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds in the last four tournaments.

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